The 14 Human Rights Risk Factors
Situations of armed conflict or other forms of instability:
Situations that place a State under stress and generate an environment conducive to atrocity crimes. See West Papua situation here.
Motives or incentives: Reasons, aims, or drivers that justify the use of violence against protected groups, populations, or individuals, including by actors outside of State borders. See West Papua situation here.
Intergroup tensions or patterns of discrimination against protected groups: Past or present conduct that reveals serious prejudice against protected groups and that creates stress in the relationship among groups or with the State, generating an environment conducive to atrocity crimes. See West Papua situation here.
Signs of a plan or policy to attack any civilian population: Facts or evidence suggestive of a State or organizational policy, even if not explicitly stipulated or formally adopted, to commit serious acts of violence directed against any civilian population. See West Papua situation here.
Serious threats to humanitarian or peacekeeping operations: Conflict-related conduct threatens the protection provided by international humanitarian law to humanitarian assistance or peacekeeping personnel not taking direct part in hostilities. See West Papua situation here.
Record of serious violations of international human rights and humanitarian law:
Past or current serious violations of international human rights and humanitarian law, particularly if assuming an early pattern of conduct, and including those amounting to atrocity crimes, that have not been prevented, punished, or adequately addressed and, as a result, create a risk of further violations. See West Papua situation here.
Capacity to commit atrocity crimes: Conditions that indicate the ability of relevant actors to commit atrocity crimes. See West Papua situation here.
Enabling circumstances or preparatory action: Events or measures, whether gradual or sudden, provide an environment conducive to the commission of atrocity crimes, or which suggest a trajectory towards their perpetration. See West Papua situation here.
Signs of an intent to destroy in whole or in part a protected group: Facts or circumstances suggest an intent, by action or omission, to destroy all or part of a protected group based on its national, ethnic, racial, or religious identity, or the perception of this identity. See West Papua situation here.
Serious threats to those protected under international humanitarian law:
Conflict-related conduct that seriously threatens the life and physical integrity of those protected under international humanitarian law. See West Papua situation here.
Weakness of State structures: Circumstances that negatively affect the capacity of a State to prevent or halt atrocity crimes. See West Papua situation here.
Absence of mitigating factors: Absence of elements that, if present, could contribute to preventing or to lessening the impact of serious acts of violence against protected groups, populations, or individuals. See West Papua situation here.
Triggering factors: Events or circumstances that, even if seemingly unrelated to atrocity crimes, may seriously exacerbate existing conditions or may spark their onset. See West Papua situation here.
Signs of a widespread or systematic attack against any civilian population: Signs of violent conduct include but are not limited to, attacks involving the use of force, against any civilian population that suggests massive, large-scale, and frequent violence (widespread), or violence with patterns of periodicity, similitude, and organization (systematic). See West Papua situation here.