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Risk Factor 1

Updated: Nov 5, 2023

Risk Factor 1. Situations of armed conflict or other forms of instability:

Situations that place a State under stress and generate an environment conducive to atrocity crimes.

Indicators

1.1 International or non-international armed conflict

1.2 Security crisis caused by, among other factors, defection from peace agreements, armed conflict in neighboring countries, threats of external interventions or acts of terrorism

1.3 Humanitarian crises or emergencies, including those caused by natural disasters or epidemics

1.4 Political instability caused by abrupt or irregular regime change or transfer of power

1.5 Political instability is caused by disputes overpowering or growing nationalist, armed, or radical opposition movements.

1.6 Political tension caused by autocratic regimes or severe political repression

1.7 Economic instability is caused by scarcity of resources or disputes over their use or exploitation

1.8 Economic instability caused by a severe crisis in the national economy

1.9 Economic instability caused by acute poverty, mass unemployment, or deep horizontal inequalities

1.10 Social instability caused by resistance to or mass protests against State authority or policies

1.11 Social instability is caused by exclusion or tensions based on identity issues, their perception, or extremist forms.

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