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Risk Factor 4

Updated: Nov 5, 2023

Risk Factor 4. Motives or incentives: Reasons, aims, or drivers that justify the use of violence against protected groups, populations, or individuals, including by actors outside of State borders.

Indicators

4.1 Political motives, particularly those aimed at the attainment or consolidation of power.

4.2 Economic interests, including those based on the safeguard and well-being of elites or identity groups, or control over the distribution of resources

4.3 Strategic or military interests, including those based on protection or seizure of territory and resources

4.4 Other interests, including those aimed at rendering an area homogeneous in its identity.

4.5 Real or perceived threats posed by protected groups, populations, or individuals, against interests or objectives of perpetrators, including perceptions of disloyalty to a cause.

4.6 Real or perceived membership of or support for armed opposition groups, by protected groups, populations, or individuals.

4.7 Ideologies are based on the supremacy of a certain identity or extremist versions of identity.

4.8 The politicization of past grievances, tensions, or impunity

4.9 Social trauma caused by past incidents of violence was not adequately addressed and that produced feelings of loss, displacement, injustice, and a possible desire for revenge.

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